2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ DAL – Week 8 2023
LA
DAL
LA
AWAY
20@43
DAL +23
FINAL · WEEK 8
2023 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER A
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 72%Projected margin: 6.5
DAL
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
6.5
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 6.5. Actual: 23. Off by 16.5 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 16.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -310 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
DAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
LA
Puka Nacua
WR
298.5SEASON PPR
Kyren Williams
RB
255.0SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
243.1SEASON PPR
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
403.2SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
342.8SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@LAW5 2022 | DAL 22, LA 10 | DAL | W |
| DAL@LAW1 2020 | DAL 17, LA 20 | LA | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES