CIN @ SF – Week 8 2023

SF B-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.

Model picked SF but CIN won. Projected margin was 4.7 -- the model overestimated by 18.7 points.

Missed the spread by 18.0 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.