SF @ CIN – Week 14 2021

CIN C-tier pick misses. SF takes it.

Model picked CIN but SF won. Projected margin was 0.8 -- the model overestimated by 2.2 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.