2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ MIN – Week 14 2021
PIT
MIN
PIT
AWAY
28@36
MIN +8
FINAL · WEEK 14
2021 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIN 52%Projected margin: 0.0
MIN
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
0.0
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIN. Projected margin: 0.0. Actual: 8. Off by 8.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -175 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
MIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
PIT
Najee Harris
RB
300.7SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
274.4SEASON PPR
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
218.1SEASON PPR
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
330.4SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
300.3SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@PITW4 2025 | MIN 21, PIT 24 | PIT | W |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES