2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ HOU – Week 14 2021
SEA
HOU
SEA
AWAY
33@13
SEA +20
FINAL · WEEK 14
2021 SEASON
HOU
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 61%Projected margin: -5.5
SEA
PICK SIDE
-10.0
SPREAD
-5.5
PROJ MARGIN
-422
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 5.5. Actual: 20. Off by 14.5 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -422 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -401 | Won · +$0.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
No noteworthy trends
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
RETRACTABLE
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
SEA
DK Metcalf
WR
244.3SEASON PPR
Russell Wilson
QB
242.8SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
241.4SEASON PPR
HOU
Brandin Cooks
WR
231.8SEASON PPR
Davis Mills
QB
157.0SEASON PPR
Rex Burkhead
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU@SEAW7 2025 | HOU 19, SEA 27 | SEA | W |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES