2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ ARI – Week 14 2021
LA
ARI
LA
AWAY
30@23
LA +7
FINAL · WEEK 14
2021 SEASON
ARI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ARI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: ARI 56%Projected margin: 1.3
ARI
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
1.3
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI B-tier pick misses. LA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ARI but LA won. Projected margin was 1.3 -- the model overestimated by 8.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | ARI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -172 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Road Favorite 3-5 ATS (38%)
ARI
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
RETRACTABLE
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
439.5SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
329.7SEASON PPR
Van Jefferson
WR
168.2SEASON PPR
ARI
Kyler Murray
QB
300.5SEASON PPR
James Conner
RB
257.7SEASON PPR
Christian Kirk
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@LAW18 2025 | ARI 20, LA 37 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW14 2025 | LA 45, ARI 17 | LA | W |
| ARI@LAW17 2024 | ARI 9, LA 13 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW2 2024 | LA 10, ARI 41 | LA | L |
| LA@ARIW12 2023 | LA 37, ARI 14 | LA | W |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES