BAL @ CLE – Week 14 2021

BAL B-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.

Model picked BAL but CLE won. Projected margin was 2.9 -- the model overestimated by 4.9 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

This pick covered the spread by 1.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.