Browns vs Seahawks – Week 8 2023
CLE
SEA
CLE
AWAY
20@24
SEA BY 4
FINAL · WEEK 8
2023 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Cleveland Browns 20, Seattle Seahawks 24.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 65% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Browns, 3 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 65%Our line: SEA -5.1
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -4.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -5.1
OUR LINE
PUSH
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
65%
TEAM COMPARISON2023 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 8
+0.045Net EPA / play-0.035
-0.141 (28)Offense EPA / play+0.016 (11)
-0.186 (1)Defense EPA / play+0.051 (30)
38.9% (29)Offense success %43.9% (11)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected SEA by 5.1. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 1.1 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
PUSH
Final margin landed exactly on the spread (-4.0). Push, no winner ATS.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
47°F
WIND
3 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
CLE
Amari Cooper
WR
227.0 SEASON PPR
Jerome Ford
RB
211.2 SEASON PPR
David Njoku
TE
201.2 SEASON PPR
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2023 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCLE vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 65% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 5.1. The market has SEA at -4.0.
Seattle Seahawks won, CLE 20, SEA 24. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 65% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -4.0, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 4.0 points.
In Week 8, the Cleveland Browns were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 39.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.1, 6.6 above the market.
Week 8 of the 2023 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
By net EPA per play over the 2023 season, Cleveland Browns: CLE +0.045 against SEA -0.035.
