2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ NYG – Week 8 2023
NYJ
NYG
NYJ
AWAY
13@10
NYJ +3
FINAL · WEEK 8
2023 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NYJ
PICK WONATS PUSH
Model confidence: NYJ 60%Projected margin: -0.7
NYJ
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-0.7
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
PUSH
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NYJ B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NYJ by 0.7. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 2.3 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
PUSH
Final margin landed exactly on the spread (-3.0). Push -- no winner ATS.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | NYJ market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -162 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
52°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYJ
Breece Hall
RB
290.5SEASON PPR
Garrett Wilson
WR
213.2SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
123.1SEASON PPR
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES