2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ TEN – Week 8 2023
ATL
TEN
ATL
AWAY
23@28
TEN +5
FINAL · WEEK 8
2023 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ATL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 68%Projected margin: -3.8
ATL
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-3.8
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL B-tier pick misses. TEN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ATL but TEN won. Projected margin was 3.8 -- the model overestimated by 8.8 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 7.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -130 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
No noteworthy trends
TEN
Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
77°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
ATL
Bijan Robinson
RB
246.3SEASON PPR
Desmond Ridder
QB
177.1SEASON PPR
Drake London
WR
174.4SEASON PPR
TEN
Derrick Henry
RB
246.7SEASON PPR
DeAndre Hopkins
WR
223.6SEASON PPR
Tyjae Spears
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES