2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ WAS – Week 5 2022
TEN
WAS
TEN
AWAY
21@17
TEN +4
FINAL · WEEK 5
2022 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: TEN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: TEN 69%Projected margin: -5.3
TEN
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
-5.3
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
TEN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected TEN by 5.3. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 1.3 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | TEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -110 | Won · +$0.87 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
TEN
Derrick Henry
RB
302.8SEASON PPR
Ryan Tannehill
QB
161.2SEASON PPR
Robert Woods
WR
117.7SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@WASW13 2024 | TEN 19, WAS 42 | WAS | W |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES