CIN @ BAL – Week 5 2022

CIN C-tier pick misses. BAL takes it.

Model picked CIN but BAL won. Projected margin was 0.8 -- the model overestimated by 2.8 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

This pick covered the spread by 1.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.