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KC @ BUF · Week 9 2025 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
KC @ BUF – Week 9 2025
KC
BUF
KC
AWAY
21
@
28
BUF +7
FINAL · WEEK 9
2025 SEASON
BUF
HOME
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BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
-2.5
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
GAME TOTAL
PREDICTED TOTAL
46.9
ALL GAME TOTALS →
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
54°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
BUF
KC
KICKOFF
KEY PLAYERS
KC
P.Mahomes
QB
285.7
PPR
T.Kelce
TE
193.2
PPR
R.Rice
WR
150.1
PPR
BUF
J.Allen
QB
364.6
PPR
J.Cook
RB
302.2
PPR
K.Shakir
WR
166.4
PPR
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 9
KC
4 LISTED
Isiah Pacheco
RB · Knee
OUT
Josh Simmons
T · Not injury related - personal matter
OUT
Jaylon Moore
T · Illness
QUESTIONABLE
Trey Smith
G · Back
QUESTIONABLE
BUF
4 LISTED
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 5 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
KC
@
BUF
W11 2024
KC 21, BUF 30
BUF
@
KC
W14 2023
BUF 20, KC 17
BUF
@
KC
W6 2022
BUF 24, KC 20
BUF
@
KC
W5 2021
BUF 38, KC 20
KC
@
BUF
W6 2020
KC 26, BUF 17
FULL COMPARISON →
KC ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
BUF ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES
CAR
@
GB
16-13
LAC
@
TEN
27-20
ATL
@
NE
23-24
ARI
@
DAL
27-17
CHI
@
CIN
47-42
JAX
@
LV
30-29
IND
@
PIT
20-27
← WEEK 9 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
BUF 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
KC ROSTER →
BUF ROSTER →
DaQuan Jones
DT · Calf
OUT
Shaq Thompson
LB · Hamstring
OUT
Josh Palmer
WR · Knee
OUT
Taron Johnson
CB · Groin
QUESTIONABLE
DEN
@
HOU
18-15
SEA
@
WAS
38-14
SF
@
NYG
34-24
BAL
@
MIA
28-6
NO
@
LA
10-34
MIN
@
DET
27-24
KC SCHEME RATES
17 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
17.9%
BLITZ RATE
21.2%
MOTION
39.8%
RPO
11.5%
SCREEN
10.5%
NO HUDDLE
2.5%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.2
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2025 SEASON
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
77.1%
Josh Allen
BUF
TIME TO THROW
2.64s
Josh Allen
BUF
SEPARATION
5.2 yds
Khalil Shakir
BUF
RUSH EFFICIENCY
3.3
Kareem Hunt
KC
AGGRESSIVENESS
14.7%
Patrick Mahomes
KC
AVG YAC
9.1 yds
Dalton Kincaid
BUF
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
BUF SCHEME RATES
19 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
30.4%
BLITZ RATE
30.6%
MOTION
50.1%
RPO
5.3%
SCREEN
10.7%
NO HUDDLE
4.6%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2025 SEASON
KC ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
16.3%
DROP %
4.8%
PRESSURE %
21.5%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
3.3
YAC/ATT
1.2
BROKEN TACKLES
10
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
71.9%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
87.1
MISSED TACKLE %
6.9%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2025 SEASON
BUF ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
13.5%
DROP %
6.6%
PRESSURE %
15.1%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.9
YAC/ATT
1.7
BROKEN TACKLES
37
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
62.7%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
82.0
MISSED TACKLE %
9.4%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2025 SEASON