NFL WEEK 11 2024 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
14 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 10-4 straight up in Week 11 2024.
The most confident pick, the Detroit Lions at 78%, won 52-6.
Our most confident Week 11 pick is the Detroit Lions over the Jacksonville Jaguars, at 78% win probability.
1 of 14 games on the Week 11 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the San Francisco 49ers at 70% win probability lost 17-20.
The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 58% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 11 2024 pick is the Detroit Lions over the Jacksonville Jaguars, at 78% win probability.
1 of 14 games in Week 11 2024 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 11, 2024, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 10-4 straight up in Week 11 2024.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the San Francisco 49ers at 70% win probability lost 17-20. The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 58% all-time rate.