2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
COACHING TENDENCIES
FULL RANKINGS →PASS RATE
56.4%
EARLY DOWN PASS
52.6%
SHOTGUN RATE
65.1%
NO HUDDLE
6.2%
4TH DOWN GO
23.0%
4TH DOWN CONV
44.8%
3RD DOWN CONV
41.4%
RED ZONE TD
76.2%
GOAL-TO-GO TD
90.9%
2-MIN DRILL EPA
+0.014
PTS/DRIVE
1.6
PLAYS/DRIVE
6.1
COACHING TREND
2020–2025 · 6 SEASONS| SEASON | PASS% | 4TH GO% | 3RD CONV% | RZ TD% | PTS/DRV | HALF ADJ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56.4% | 23.0% | 41.4% | 76.2% | 1.6 | +0.009 |
| 2024 | 56.0% | 14.3% | 50.9% | 100.0% | 2.3 | +0.036 |
| 2023 | 60.2% | 15.0% | 41.9% | 66.7% | 1.5 | +0.070 |
| 2022 | 68.9% | 20.7% | 39.1% | 80.0% | 1.2 | -0.039 |
| 2021 | 67.4% | 16.7% | 45.5% | 76.0% | 2.2 | -0.058 |
| 2020 | 63.3% | 13.7% | 45.6% | 91.7% | 2.3 | -0.043 |
TOP PLAYERS
ALL LEADERS →| PLAYER | POS | GP | PASS YD | RUSH YD | REC YD | TD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Mayfield | QB | 17 | 3,693 | 382 | — | 27 | 271.9 |
| R.White | RB | 17 | — | 572 | 218 | 4 | 143.0 |
| B.Irving | RB | 10 | — | 588 | 277 | 4 | 138.5 |
| E.Egbuka | WR | 17 | — | 9 | 938 | 6 | 195.7 |
| T.Johnson | WR | 15 | — | 22 | 322 | 5 | 92.4 |
| M.Evans | WR | 8 | — | — | 368 | 3 | 84.8 |
| C.Otton | TE | 15 | — | — | 572 | 1 | 122.2 |
HOME / AWAY
GAME RESULTS BY LOCATIONHOME
28-20
58% WIN RATE
AWAY
28-22
56% WIN RATE
NOPUNT PICK RECORD
45-25
PICKS FOR
64%
FOR ACCURACY
17-11
PICKS AGAINST
61%
AGAINST ACCURACY
98
GAMES TRACKED
ATS SPLITS
WHEN WE PICK TBHOME
14-24
36.8%
AWAY
14-17
45.2%
FAVORITE
24-37
39.3%
UNDERDOG
4-4
50.0%
S TIER
2-3
A+ TIER
8-9
A TIER
2-3
B TIER
12-15
C TIER
4-11
BY OPPONENT
MIN 2 PICKS FOR TB
vs ARI2-0
vs NYJ2-0
vs LAC2-0
vs LV2-0
vs NYG3-0
vs CAR9-2
vs DAL2-1
vs CHI2-1
vs ATL5-4
vs NE1-1
vs DEN1-1
vs WAS1-1
vs NO4-5
vs PHI1-2
vs LA1-2
PICK HISTORY
NEWEST FIRST| Week | Matchup | Our Pick | Tier | Conf. | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025·W18 | CAR @ TBSAT 4:30 PM | TB | C | 55% | CAR 14–16 TB | WIN |
| 2025·W17 | TB @ MIASUN 1:00 PM | MIA | C | 50% | TB 17–20 MIA | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W16 | TB @ CARSUN 1:00 PM | TB | C | 45% | TB 20–23 CAR | LOSS |
| 2025·W15 | ATL @ TBTHU 8:15 PM | TB | B | 62% | ATL 29–28 TB | LOSS |
| 2025·W14 | NO @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 75% | NO 24–20 TB | LOSS |
| 2025·W13 | ARI @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 68% | ARI 17–20 TB | WIN |
| 2025·W12 | TB @ LASUN 8:20 PM | LA | A+ | 69% | TB 7–34 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W11 | TB @ BUFSUN 1:00 PM | BUF | B | 59% | TB 32–44 BUF | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W10 | NE @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 64% | NE 28–23 TB | LOSS |
| 2025·W8 | TB @ NOSUN 4:05 PM | TB | B | 30% | TB 23–3 NO | WIN |
| 2025·W7 | TB @ DETMON 7:00 PM | DET | B | 59% | TB 9–24 DET | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W6 | SF @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | TB | B | 64% | SF 19–30 TB | WIN |
| 2025·W5 | TB @ SEASUN 4:05 PM | SEA | C | 51% | TB 38–35 SEA | LOSS (vs) |
| 2025·W4 | PHI @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | C | 52% | PHI 31–25 TB | LOSS |
| 2025·W3 | NYJ @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | S | 82% | NYJ 27–29 TB | WIN |
| 2025·W2 | TB @ HOUMON 7:00 PM | TB | B | 33% | TB 20–19 HOU | WIN |
| 2025·W1 | TB @ ATLSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 35% | TB 23–20 ATL | WIN |
| 2024·W18 | NO @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | S | 77% | NO 19–27 TB | WIN |
| 2024·W17 | CAR @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | S | 77% | CAR 14–48 TB | WIN |
| 2024·W16 | TB @ DALSUN 8:20 PM | TB | C | 41% | TB 24–26 DAL | LOSS |
| 2024·W15 | TB @ LACSUN 4:25 PM | TB | C | 48% | TB 40–17 LAC | WIN |
| 2024·W14 | LV @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 71% | LV 13–28 TB | WIN |
| 2024·W13 | TB @ CARSUN 4:05 PM | TB | B | 36% | TB 26–23 CAR | WIN |
| 2024·W12 | TB @ NYGSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 36% | TB 30–7 NYG | WIN |
| 2024·W10 | SF @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | SF | B | 45% | SF 23–20 TB | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W9 | TB @ KCMON 8:15 PM | KC | A+ | 68% | TB 24–30 KC | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W8 | ATL @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 54% | ATL 31–26 TB | LOSS |
| 2024·W7 | BAL @ TBMON 8:15 PM | BAL | B | 43% | BAL 41–31 TB | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W6 | TB @ NOSUN 1:00 PM | NO | C | 50% | TB 51–27 NO | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W5 | TB @ ATLTHU 8:15 PM | ATL | C | 51% | TB 30–36 ATL | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W4 | PHI @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | PHI | C | 48% | PHI 16–33 TB | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W3 | DEN @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 68% | DEN 26–7 TB | LOSS |
| 2024·W2 | TB @ DETSUN 1:00 PM | DET | B | 59% | TB 20–16 DET | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W1 | WAS @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | TB | A+ | 73% | WAS 20–37 TB | WIN |
| 2023·W18 | TB @ CARSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 34% | TB 9–0 CAR | WIN |
| 2023·W17 | NO @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 55% | NO 23–13 TB | LOSS |
| 2023·W16 | JAX @ TBSUN 4:05 PM | TB | B | 56% | JAX 12–30 TB | WIN |
| 2023·W15 | TB @ GBSUN 1:00 PM | GB | B | 55% | TB 34–20 GB | LOSS (vs) |
| 2023·W14 | TB @ ATLSUN 1:00 PM | ATL | C | 53% | TB 29–25 ATL | LOSS (vs) |
| 2023·W13 | CAR @ TBSUN 4:05 PM | TB | A | 67% | CAR 18–21 TB | WIN |
| 2023·W12 | TB @ INDSUN 1:00 PM | IND | B | 54% | TB 20–27 IND | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W11 | TB @ SFSUN 4:05 PM | SF | B | 65% | TB 14–27 SF | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W10 | TEN @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 64% | TEN 6–20 TB | WIN |
| 2023·W9 | TB @ HOUSUN 1:00 PM | HOU | C | 47% | TB 37–39 HOU | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W8 | TB @ BUFTHU 8:15 PM | BUF | B | 64% | TB 18–24 BUF | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W7 | ATL @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 63% | ATL 16–13 TB | LOSS |
| 2023·W6 | DET @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | DET | C | 49% | DET 20–6 TB | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W4 | TB @ NOSUN 1:00 PM | TB | C | 47% | TB 26–9 NO | WIN |
| 2023·W3 | PHI @ TBMON 7:15 PM | TB | C | 49% | PHI 25–11 TB | LOSS |
| 2023·W2 | CHI @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 75% | CHI 17–27 TB | WIN |
| 2023·W1 | TB @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | C | 57% | TB 20–17 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2022·W18 | TB @ ATLSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 39% | TB 17–30 ATL | LOSS |
| 2022·W17 | CAR @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 61% | CAR 24–30 TB | WIN |
| 2022·W16 | TB @ ARISUN 8:20 PM | TB | B | 36% | TB 19–16 ARI | WIN |
| 2022·W15 | CIN @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | CIN | B | 45% | CIN 34–23 TB | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W14 | TB @ SFSUN 4:25 PM | SF | B | 54% | TB 7–35 SF | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W13 | NO @ TBMON 8:15 PM | TB | B | 62% | NO 16–17 TB | WIN |
| 2022·W12 | TB @ CLESUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 37% | TB 17–23 CLE | LOSS |
| 2022·W10 | SEA @ TBSUN 9:30 AM | SEA | C | 50% | SEA 16–21 TB | LOSS (vs) |
| 2022·W9 | LA @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | TB | C | 52% | LA 13–16 TB | WIN |
| 2022·W8 | BAL @ TBTHU 8:15 PM | TB | B | 54% | BAL 27–22 TB | LOSS |
| 2022·W7 | TB @ CARSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 25% | TB 3–21 CAR | LOSS |
| 2022·W6 | TB @ PITSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 31% | TB 18–20 PIT | LOSS |
| 2022·W5 | ATL @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A | 66% | ATL 15–21 TB | WIN |
| 2022·W4 | KC @ TBSUN 8:20 PM | TB | C | 50% | KC 41–31 TB | LOSS |
| 2022·W3 | GB @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | TB | B | 56% | GB 14–12 TB | LOSS |
| 2022·W2 | TB @ NOSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 38% | — | — |
| 2022·W1 | TB @ DALSUN 8:20 PM | TB | B | 45% | TB 19–3 DAL | WIN |
| 2021·W18 | CAR @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | TB | S | 77% | CAR 17–41 TB | WIN |
| 2021·W17 | TB @ NYJSUN 1:00 PM | TB | S | 26% | TB 28–24 NYJ | WIN |
| 2021·W16 | TB @ CARSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 30% | TB 32–6 CAR | WIN |
| 2021·W15 | NO @ TBSUN 8:20 PM | TB | A | 67% | NO 9–0 TB | LOSS |
| 2021·W14 | BUF @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | TB | B | 56% | BUF 27–33 TB | WIN |
| 2021·W13 | TB @ ATLSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 34% | TB 30–17 ATL | WIN |
| 2021·W12 | TB @ INDSUN 1:00 PM | IND | C | 52% | TB 38–31 IND | LOSS (vs) |
| 2021·W11 | NYG @ TBMON 8:15 PM | TB | A+ | 66% | NYG 10–30 TB | WIN |
| 2021·W10 | TB @ WASSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 29% | TB 19–29 WAS | LOSS |
| 2021·W8 | TB @ NOSUN 4:25 PM | TB | C | 40% | TB 27–36 NO | LOSS |
| 2021·W7 | CHI @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | TB | A+ | 69% | CHI 3–38 TB | WIN |
| 2021·W6 | TB @ PHITHU 8:20 PM | TB | A+ | 30% | TB 28–22 PHI | WIN |
| 2021·W5 | MIA @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A | 66% | MIA 17–45 TB | WIN |
| 2021·W4 | TB @ NESUN 8:20 PM | TB | B | 37% | TB 19–17 NE | WIN |
| 2021·W3 | TB @ LASUN 4:25 PM | TB | C | 50% | TB 24–34 LA | LOSS |
| 2021·W2 | ATL @ TBSUN 4:05 PM | TB | S | 71% | — | — |
| 2021·W1 | DAL @ TBTHU 8:20 PM | TB | A+ | 65% | DAL 29–31 TB | WIN |
| 2020·W17 | ATL @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | A | 67% | ATL 27–44 TB | WIN |
| 2020·W16 | TB @ DETSAT 1:00 PM | TB | A+ | 31% | TB 47–7 DET | WIN |
| 2020·W15 | TB @ ATLSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 42% | TB 31–27 ATL | WIN |
| 2020·W14 | MIN @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | C | 48% | MIN 14–26 TB | LOSS (vs) |
| 2020·W12 | KC @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | KC | B | 41% | KC 27–24 TB | WIN (vs) |
| 2020·W11 | LA @ TBMON 8:15 PM | TB | C | 51% | LA 27–24 TB | LOSS |
| 2020·W10 | TB @ CARSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 38% | TB 46–23 CAR | WIN |
| 2020·W9 | NO @ TBSUN 8:20 PM | TB | C | 53% | NO 38–3 TB | LOSS |
| 2020·W8 | TB @ NYGMON 8:15 PM | TB | A+ | 33% | TB 25–23 NYG | WIN |
| 2020·W7 | TB @ LVSUN 4:05 PM | TB | C | 46% | TB 45–20 LV | WIN |
| 2020·W6 | GB @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | GB | B | 41% | GB 10–38 TB | LOSS (vs) |
| 2020·W5 | TB @ CHITHU 8:20 PM | TB | C | 45% | TB 19–20 CHI | LOSS |
| 2020·W4 | LAC @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 61% | LAC 31–38 TB | WIN |
| 2020·W3 | TB @ DENSUN 4:25 PM | TB | C | 44% | TB 28–10 DEN | WIN |
| 2020·W2 | CAR @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | TB | B | 61% | — | — |
| 2020·W1 | TB @ NOSUN 4:25 PM | NO | A+ | 64% | TB 23–34 NO | WIN (vs) |