NO @ TB – Week 15 2026
NO
TB
NO
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
TB
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: TB 63%Projected margin: -2.2
TB
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.2
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.029Net EPA / play-0.022
-0.088Offense EPA / play-0.009
-0.059Defense EPA / play+0.013
42.0%Offense success %42.4%
41.8%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
TB is our early forecast in NO @ TB (Week 15, 2026). The model assigns 62.6% confidence and projects TB by 2.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | TB market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NO
C.Olave
WR
268.0SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
179.9SEASON PPR
T.Shough
QB
158.0SEASON PPR
TB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New Orleans SaintsPASSING
T.Shough2384 yd · 10 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
A.Kamara471 yd · 1 TD
D.Neal206 yd · 2 TD
A.Estime198 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
C.Olave100 rec · 1163 yd · 9 TD
J.Johnson77 rec · 889 yd · 3 TD
R.Shaheed44 rec · 499 yd · 2 TD
D.Vele25 rec · 293 yd · 2 TD
VS
2,384PASSyds3,693
875RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB@NOW18 2026 | — | NO | — |
| NO@TBW14 2025 | NO 24, TB 20 | TB | L |
| TB@NOW8 2025 | TB 23, NO 3 | TB | W |
| NO@TBW18 2024 | NO 19, TB 27 | TB | W |
| TB@NOW6 2024 | TB 51, NO 27 | NO | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSNO vs TB
Who is favored in New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Our model takes Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 63% win probability. The margin models project TB by 2.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers play?
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers game?
New Orleans Saints, 24-20 in Week 14 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the New Orleans Saints or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: NO -0.029 against TB -0.022.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
