IND @ TEN – Week 15 2026
IND
TEN
IND
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
TEN
HOME
Model confidence: IND 64%Projected margin: -2.1
IND
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.1
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.068Net EPA / play-0.260
+0.072Offense EPA / play-0.160
+0.004Defense EPA / play+0.100
46.3%Offense success %37.4%
45.5%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: IND at 64%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
IND generates 0.072 EPA/play on offense. TEN's defense allows 0.100. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
IND goes for it on 4th down 26% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
H2H EDGE
IND has won 5 of the last 5 meetings against TEN.
RED ZONE
IND converts 95% in the red zone vs 68% for TEN. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
IND scores 2.2 points per drive vs 1.0 for TEN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Multiple signals align in IND's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | IND market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
IND
J.Taylor
RB
362.3SEASON PPR
D.Jones
QB
226.4SEASON PPR
M.Pittman
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
TEN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Indianapolis ColtsPASSING
D.Jones3101 yd · 19 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
J.Taylor1585 yd · 18 TD
D.Jones164 yd · 5 TD
D.Giddens96 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
A.Pierce47 rec · 1003 yd · 6 TD
T.Warren76 rec · 817 yd · 4 TD
M.Pittman80 rec · 784 yd · 7 TD
J.Downs58 rec · 566 yd · 4 TD
VS
3,101PASSyds3,169
1,845RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@INDW6 2026 | — | IND | — |
| TEN@INDW8 2025 | TEN 14, IND 38 | IND | W |
| IND@TENW3 2025 | IND 41, TEN 20 | IND | W |
| TEN@INDW16 2024 | TEN 30, IND 38 | IND | W |
| IND@TENW6 2024 | IND 20, TEN 17 | IND | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSIND vs TEN
Who is favored in Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans?
Our model takes Indianapolis Colts at 64% win probability. The margin models project IND by 2.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans play?
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans game?
Indianapolis Colts, 14-38 in Week 8 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Indianapolis Colts or the Tennessee Titans?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Indianapolis Colts: IND +0.068 against TEN -0.260.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
