Colts vs Titans – Week 15 2026
IND
TEN
IND
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN
TEN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Colts over the Titans at 68% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: IND 68%Our line: IND -6.5
80% range around our line: TEN by 11 to IND by 24. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the IND game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
IND —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
IND -6.5
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
IND · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
68%
IND · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
53%
DIFFERENCE
+15%
| SPORTSBOOK | IND | TEN | IND WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -125 | +105 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 15 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.150Net EPA / play-0.228
-0.051 (22)Offense EPA / play-0.149 (31)
+0.099 (27)Defense EPA / play+0.078 (25)
42.2% (19)Offense success %40.5% (25)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors IND at 68%.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
IND goes for it on 4th down 28% of the time, among the most aggressive in the NFL.
H2H EDGE
IND has won 5 of the last 5 meetings against TEN.
RED ZONE
IND converts 78% in the red zone vs 45% for TEN. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
IND scores 1.4 points per drive vs 0.9 for TEN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Multiple signals align in IND's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@INDW8 2025 | TEN 14, IND 38 | IND | W |
| IND@TENW3 2025 | IND 41, TEN 20 | IND | W |
| TEN@INDW16 2024 | TEN 30, IND 38 | IND | W |
| IND@TENW6 2024 | IND 20, TEN 17 | IND | W |
| IND@TENW13 2023 | IND 31, TEN 28 | IND | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSIND vs TEN
Our model takes Indianapolis Colts at 68% win probability. The margin models project IND by 6.5. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Indianapolis Colts at 68% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Indianapolis Colts, TEN 14, IND 38 in Week 8 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Indianapolis Colts: IND -0.150 against TEN -0.228.
