Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 70% win probability. The margin models project LA by 7.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Los Angeles Rams at 70% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Dallas Cowboys, LA 20, DAL 43 in Week 8 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Los Angeles Rams: DAL -0.066 against LA +0.114.
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average. Last synced Thu 8:00 PM ET.
OPEN · CURRENT · MODEL
MARKET
OPEN
CURRENT
MODEL
SPREAD
LA -6.0
LA -6.0
LA -7.0
MONEYLINE
LA -245
LA -245
LA -230
OPEN is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the true market opener. OPEN and CURRENT are the median across books, rounded to the half point. CURRENT excludes any price posted after kickoff.
51.8% (32)Defense success %42.4% (13)
+0.202 (7)Pass EPA / play+0.116 (11)
-0.013 (14)Rush EPA / play-0.005 (12)
27.6 (7)Points / game23.8 (13)
27.2 (25)Points allowed / game24.0 (20)
65.1%Pass rate64.5%
73.3%Red zone TD %85.7%
15.4%4th down go %25.8%
CowboysRams
Likely final margins. Each team's shaded area is its win probability and the marker is our line. Four times in five the real margin lands between Cowboys by 10 and Rams by 24. The peak is where we lean, not a forecast of the score.