DAL @ LA – Week 15 2026
DAL
LA
DAL
AWAY
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
LA
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: LA 74%Projected margin: -7.0
LA
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-7.0
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.070Net EPA / play+0.206
+0.097Offense EPA / play+0.145
+0.167Defense EPA / play-0.061
46.6%Offense success %51.8%
48.9%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: LA at 74%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
LA generates 0.145 EPA/play on offense. DAL's defense allows 0.167. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
LA goes for it on 4th down 29% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
LA converts 91% in the red zone vs 73% for DAL. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
LA scores 2.5 points per drive vs 2.0 for DAL. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.0-point margin.
Multiple signals align in LA's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | LA market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DAL
D.Prescott
QB
313.8SEASON PPR
G.Pickens
WR
291.9SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
242.8SEASON PPR
LA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Dallas CowboysPASSING
D.Prescott4552 yd · 30 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
J.Williams1201 yd · 11 TD
M.Davis250 yd · 2 TD
D.Prescott177 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
G.Pickens93 rec · 1429 yd · 9 TD
C.Lamb75 rec · 1077 yd · 3 TD
J.Ferguson82 rec · 600 yd · 8 TD
R.Flournoy40 rec · 475 yd · 4 TD
VS
4,552PASSyds4,707
1,628RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@DALW8 2023 | LA 20, DAL 43 | DAL | W |
| DAL@LAW5 2022 | DAL 22, LA 10 | DAL | W |
| DAL@LAW1 2020 | DAL 17, LA 20 | LA | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSDAL vs LA
Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams?
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 74% win probability. The margin models project LA by 7.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams play?
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Who won the last Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams game?
Dallas Cowboys, 20-43 in Week 8 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the Dallas Cowboys or the Los Angeles Rams?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Rams: DAL -0.070 against LA +0.206.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
