DET @ MIN – Week 15 2026
DET
MIN
DET
AWAY
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
MIN
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: MIN 62%Projected margin: -2.3
MIN
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.091Net EPA / play-0.016
+0.081Offense EPA / play-0.116
-0.010Defense EPA / play-0.100
45.2%Offense success %42.6%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
MIN is our early forecast in DET @ MIN (Week 15, 2026). The model assigns 61.9% confidence and projects MIN by 2.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | MIN market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DET
J.Gibbs
RB
366.9SEASON PPR
A.St. Brown
WR
324.0SEASON PPR
J.Goff
QB
297.1SEASON PPR
MIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Detroit LionsPASSING
J.Goff4564 yd · 34 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
J.Gibbs1223 yd · 13 TD
D.Montgomery716 yd · 8 TD
J.Goff45 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
A.St. Brown117 rec · 1401 yd · 11 TD
J.Williams65 rec · 1117 yd · 7 TD
J.Gibbs77 rec · 616 yd · 5 TD
S.LaPorta40 rec · 489 yd · 3 TD
VS
4,564PASSyds1,632
1,984RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@DETW8 2026 | — | DET | — |
| DET@MINW17 2025 | DET 10, MIN 23 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW9 2025 | MIN 27, DET 24 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW18 2024 | MIN 9, DET 31 | DET | W |
| DET@MINW7 2024 | DET 31, MIN 29 | DET | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSDET vs MIN
Who is favored in Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings?
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 62% win probability. The margin models project MIN by 2.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings play?
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Who won the last Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings game?
Minnesota Vikings, 10-23 in Week 17 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Detroit Lions or the Minnesota Vikings?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Detroit Lions: DET +0.091 against MIN -0.016.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
