Lions vs Vikings – Week 15 2026
DET
MIN
DET
AWAY
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN
MIN
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Vikings over the Lions at 68% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: MIN 68%Our line: MIN -6.4
80% range around our line: DET by 11 to MIN by 24. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the MIN game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
MIN —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
MIN -6.4
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
MIN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
68%
MIN · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
47%
DIFFERENCE
+21%
| SPORTSBOOK | DET | MIN | MIN WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -125 | +105 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 15 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.029Net EPA / play+0.111
+0.180 (3)Offense EPA / play-0.099 (28)
+0.152 (31)Defense EPA / play-0.210 (1)
49.1% (4)Offense success %35.9% (32)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
MIN is our early forecast in DET @ MIN (Week 15, 2026). The model assigns 68% confidence and projects MIN by 6.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@MINW17 2025 | DET 10, MIN 23 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW9 2025 | MIN 27, DET 24 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW18 2024 | MIN 9, DET 31 | DET | W |
| DET@MINW7 2024 | DET 31, MIN 29 | DET | W |
| MIN@DETW18 2023 | MIN 20, DET 30 | DET | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSDET vs MIN
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 68% win probability. The margin models project MIN by 6.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Minnesota Vikings at 68% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Minnesota Vikings, DET 10, MIN 23 in Week 17 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Minnesota Vikings: DET +0.029 against MIN +0.111.
