BAL @ PIT – Week 15 2026
BAL
PIT
BAL
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
PIT
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: PIT 65%Projected margin: -2.9
PIT
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.9
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.010Net EPA / play+0.007
+0.034Offense EPA / play+0.025
+0.024Defense EPA / play+0.018
44.6%Offense success %44.0%
44.1%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
PIT is our early forecast in BAL @ PIT (Week 15, 2026). The model assigns 65.4% confidence and projects PIT by 2.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PIT market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
BAL
D.Henry
RB
279.5SEASON PPR
Z.Flowers
WR
243.3SEASON PPR
L.Jackson
QB
214.9SEASON PPR
PIT
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Baltimore RavensPASSING
L.Jackson2549 yd · 21 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
D.Henry1595 yd · 16 TD
L.Jackson349 yd · 2 TD
K.Mitchell341 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
Z.Flowers86 rec · 1211 yd · 5 TD
M.Andrews48 rec · 422 yd · 5 TD
D.Hopkins22 rec · 330 yd · 2 TD
I.Likely27 rec · 307 yd · 1 TD
VS
2,549PASSyds3,322
2,285RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@BALW18 2026 | — | PIT | — |
| BAL@PITW18 2025 | BAL 24, PIT 26 | PIT | W |
| PIT@BALW14 2025 | PIT 27, BAL 22 | BAL | L |
| PIT@BALW16 2024 | PIT 17, BAL 34 | BAL | W |
| BAL@PITW11 2024 | BAL 16, PIT 18 | BAL | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSBAL vs PIT
Who is favored in Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers?
Our model takes Pittsburgh Steelers at 65% win probability. The margin models project PIT by 2.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers play?
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers game?
Pittsburgh Steelers, 24-26 in Week 18 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Baltimore Ravens or the Pittsburgh Steelers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Baltimore Ravens: BAL +0.010 against PIT +0.007.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
