TIER CPICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 61%Projected margin: 1.2
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PIT by 1.2. Actual: 2 points. The model was within 0.8 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.5 points.
COLD GAME
25°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BAL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
BAL3 LISTEDMarlon Humphrey
CB · Illness
QUESTIONABLE
Rashod Bateman
WR · Illness
QUESTIONABLE
PIT0 LISTEDNO INJURIES REPORTED
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS