2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ NYG – Week 18 2025
DAL
NYG
DAL
AWAY
17@34
NYG +17
FINAL · WEEK 18
2025 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: DAL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: DAL 68%Projected margin: -3.8
DAL
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-3.8
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked DAL but NYG won. Projected margin was 3.8 -- the model overestimated by 20.8 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 20.0 points.
COLD GAME
33°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
NYG
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
33°F
WIND
7 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DAL
D.Prescott
QB
313.8SEASON PPR
G.Pickens
WR
291.9SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
242.8SEASON PPR
NYG
J.Dart
QB
241.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
217.9SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@DALW2 2025 | NYG 37, DAL 40 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW13 2024 | NYG 20, DAL 27 | DAL | W |
| DAL@NYGW4 2024 | DAL 20, NYG 15 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW10 2023 | NYG 17, DAL 49 | DAL | W |
| DAL@NYGW1 2023 | DAL 40, NYG 0 | DAL | W |
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES