2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ DAL – Week 2 2025
NYG
DAL
NYG
AWAY
37@40
DAL +3
FINAL · WEEK 2
2025 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: DAL 70%Projected margin: 5.4
DAL
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
5.4
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected DAL by 5.4. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 2.4 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 10 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.52 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
No noteworthy trends
DAL
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NYG
J.Dart
QB
241.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
217.9SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
160.8SEASON PPR
DAL
D.Prescott
QB
313.8SEASON PPR
G.Pickens
WR
291.9SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@NYGW18 2025 | DAL 17, NYG 34 | DAL | L |
| NYG@DALW13 2024 | NYG 20, DAL 27 | DAL | W |
| DAL@NYGW4 2024 | DAL 20, NYG 15 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW10 2023 | NYG 17, DAL 49 | DAL | W |
| DAL@NYGW1 2023 | DAL 40, NYG 0 | DAL | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES