Seahawks vs Steelers – Week 2 2025
SEA
PIT
SEA
AWAY
31@17
SEA BY 14
FINAL · WEEK 2
2025 SEASON
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
PIT
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 31, Pittsburgh Steelers 17.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Seahawks, 3 Steelers.
Model confidence: SEA 58%Our line: SEA -2.8
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA +3.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -2.8
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
58%
SEA · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
36%
DIFFERENCE
+22%
| SOURCE | SEA | PIT | SEA WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | +160 | -192 | 36.4% |
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
+0.150Net EPA / play+0.007
+0.033 (13)Offense EPA / play+0.025 (16)
-0.117 (2)Defense EPA / play+0.018 (18)
46.3% (7)Offense success %44.0% (17)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 2.8. Actual: 14. Off by 11.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 13 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 17.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
79°F
WIND
5 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@SEAW17 2023 | PIT 30, SEA 23 | PIT | W |
| SEA@PITW6 2021 | SEA 20, PIT 23 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs PIT
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project SEA by 2.8. The market has SEA at +3.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, SEA 31, PIT 17. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at +3.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 3.5 points.
In Week 2, the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Pittsburgh Steelers were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2025 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Pittsburgh Steelers, PIT 30, SEA 23 in Week 17 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA +0.150 against PIT +0.007.
