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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

HOU

AWAY

20@19

TB +1

FINAL · WEEK 2

2025 SEASON

HOU

HOME

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BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+2.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

TB

B.Mayfield

QB

271.9PPR

E.Egbuka

WR

195.7PPR

R.White

RB

143.0PPR

HOU

N.Collins

WR

226.2PPR

C.Stroud

QB

208.5PPR

D.Schultz

TE

177.7PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 2

TB5 LISTED

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR · Ankle

OUT

Tristan Wirfs

T · Knee

OUT

Luke Goedeke

G · Foot

QUESTIONABLE

Christian Izien

S · Oblique

QUESTIONABLE

Benjamin Morrison

CB · Quadricep

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
TB@HOUW9 2023	TB 37, HOU 39

FULL COMPARISON →

TB ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

HOU ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES

CAR@ARI

22-27

BUF@NYJ

30-10

NE@MIA

33-27

NYG@DAL

37-40

JAX@CIN

27-31

WAS@GB

18-27

PHI@KC

20-17

← WEEK 2 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

HOU3 LISTED

Braxton Berrios

WR · Hamstring

OUT

Christian Kirk

WR · Hamstring

OUT

Jake Andrews

C · Ankle

OUT

TB SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

19.7%

BLITZ RATE

27.3%

MOTION

50.4%

RPO

6.2%

SCREEN

12.2%

NO HUDDLE

5.4%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2025 SEASON

HOU SCHEME RATES

19 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

25.3%

BLITZ RATE

31.3%

MOTION

44.7%

RPO

1.3%

SCREEN

5.1%

NO HUDDLE

3.5%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.4

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2025 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

64.6%

Baker MayfieldTB

TIME TO THROW

2.43s

Baker MayfieldTB

SEPARATION

2.9 yds

Emeka EgbukaTB

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.4

Rachaad WhiteTB

AGGRESSIVENESS

16.7%

C.J. StroudHOU

AVG YAC

9.0 yds

Emeka EgbukaTB

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

TB ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

15.9%

DROP %

3.6%

PRESSURE %

14.7%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

1.4

BROKEN TACKLES

31

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

67.1%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

87.6

MISSED TACKLE %

10.6%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2025 SEASON

HOU ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

19.1%

DROP %

5.3%

PRESSURE %

19.4%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.5

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

25

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

63.4%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

80.8

MISSED TACKLE %

10.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2025 SEASON

TB @ HOU – Week 2 2025