2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ KC – Week 2 2025
PHI
KC
PHI
AWAY
20@17
PHI +3
FINAL · WEEK 2
2025 SEASON
KC
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PHI 62%Projected margin: -1.5
PHI
PICK SIDE
-1.5
SPREAD
-1.5
PROJ MARGIN
-124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PHI by 1.5. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.5 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.81 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
KC
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Road Favorite 1-7 ATS (13%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
88°F
WIND
12 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
220.3SEASON PPR
KC
P.Mahomes
QB
285.7SEASON PPR
T.Kelce
TE
193.2SEASON PPR
R.Rice
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@KCW11 2023 | PHI 21, KC 17 | KC | L |
| KC@PHIW4 2021 | KC 42, PHI 30 | KC | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES