DAL @ NYG – Week 1 2026
DAL
NYG
DAL
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 1 · 2026 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DAL
Model confidence: DAL 63%Projected margin: -1.3
DAL
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-1.3
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
-144
LIVE ML
WHY THIS PICK
DAL is our C-tier play in DAL @ NYG (Week 1, 2026). The model assigns 62.6% confidence and projects DAL by 1.3. Market spread sits at DAL -2.5.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split — the model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | -144 | Last observed market ML |
MODEL IMPLIED
58.8%
MARKET IMPLIED
59.0%
MODEL EDGE
-0.2%
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@NYGW18 2025 | DAL 17, NYG 34 | DAL | L |
| NYG@DALW2 2025 | NYG 37, DAL 40 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW13 2024 | NYG 20, DAL 27 | DAL | W |
| DAL@NYGW4 2024 | DAL 20, NYG 15 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW10 2023 | NYG 17, DAL 49 | DAL | W |
