CHI @ CAR – Week 1 2026
CHI
CAR
CHI
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 1 · 2026 SEASON
CAR
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CHI
Model confidence: CHI 65%Projected margin: -2.0
CHI
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-2.0
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
-142
LIVE ML
WHY THIS PICK
CHI is our B-tier play in CHI @ CAR (Week 1, 2026). The model assigns 65.1% confidence and projects CHI by 2.0. Market spread sits at CHI -2.5.
MODEL CONVICTION
High — the model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | CHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | -142 | Last observed market ML |
MODEL IMPLIED
58.8%
MARKET IMPLIED
58.7%
MODEL EDGE
+0.2%
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@CHIW5 2024 | CAR 10, CHI 36 | CHI | W |
| CAR@CHIW10 2023 | CAR 13, CHI 16 | CHI | W |
| CHI@CARW6 2020 | CHI 23, CAR 16 | CAR | L |
