2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIA @ NE – Week 18 2025
MIA
NE
MIA
AWAY
10@38
NE +28
FINAL · WEEK 18
2025 SEASON
NE
HOME
TIER A
PICK: NE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NE 67%Projected margin: 6.5
NE
PICK SIDE
+14.0
SPREAD
6.5
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
NO
DISAGREE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
GAME NARRATIVE
NE A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NE. Projected margin: 6.5. Actual: 28. Off by 21.5 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.0 points.
COLD GAME
29°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +14.0 | Market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
| RESULT | — | Won · +$1 | |
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
29°F
WIND
6 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
KEY PLAYERS
MIA
D.Achane
RB
322.8PPR
J.Waddle
WR
194.1PPR
T.Tagovailoa
QB
160.7PPR
NE
D.Maye
QB
352.0PPR
S.Diggs
WR
210.3PPR
T.Henderson
RB
206.2PPR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE@MIAW2 2025 | NE 33, MIA 27 | MIA | L |
| NE@MIAW12 2024 | NE 15, MIA 34 | MIA | W |
| MIA@NEW5 2024 | MIA 15, NE 10 | MIA | W |
| NE@MIAW8 2023 | NE 17, MIA 31 | MIA | W |
| MIA@NEW2 2023 | MIA 24, NE 17 | MIA | W |
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES