NFL WEEK 18 2025 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 9-7 straight up in Week 18 2025.
The most confident pick, the Buffalo Bills at 85%, won 35-8.
Our most confident Week 18 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the New York Jets, at 85% win probability.
1 of 16 games on the Week 18 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Philadelphia Eagles at 80% win probability lost 17-24.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 1-3 (25%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 18 2025 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the New York Jets, at 85% win probability.
1 of 16 games in Week 18 2025 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 18, 2025, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 9-7 straight up in Week 18 2025.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Philadelphia Eagles at 80% win probability lost 17-24. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 1-3 (25%) against a 66% all-time rate.