NFL WEEK 17 2025 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 10-6 straight up in Week 17 2025.
The most confident pick, the Pittsburgh Steelers at 75%, lost 6-13.
Our most confident Week 17 pick is the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Cleveland Browns, at 75% win probability.
1 of 16 games on the Week 17 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Pittsburgh Steelers at 75% win probability lost 6-13.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 4-3 (57%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 17 2025 pick is the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Cleveland Browns, at 75% win probability.
1 of 16 games in Week 17 2025 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 17, 2025, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 10-6 straight up in Week 17 2025.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Pittsburgh Steelers at 75% win probability lost 6-13. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 4-3 (57%) against a 66% all-time rate.