Giants vs Raiders – Week 17 2025
NYG
LV
NYG
AWAY
34@10
NYG BY 24
FINAL · WEEK 17
2025 SEASON
Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV
LV
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 34, Las Vegas Raiders 10.
Going in, our model had favored New York Giants at 50% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 7 Giants, 2 Raiders.
Model confidence: NYG 50%Our line: NYG +0.0
ODDS
SPREAD
NYG -3.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
NYG +0.0
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
NYG · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
50%
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 17
-0.075Net EPA / play-0.240
+0.012 (17)Offense EPA / play-0.215 (32)
+0.087 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.024 (21)
42.1% (25)Offense success %37.6% (30)
GAME NARRATIVE
NYG C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NYG. Projected margin: 0.0. Actual: 24. Off by 24.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 21.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@LVW9 2023 | NYG 6, LV 30 | LV | W |
| LV@NYGW9 2021 | LV 16, NYG 23 | LV | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs LV
Our model takes New York Giants at 50% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project LV by 0.0. The market has NYG at -3.0.
New York Giants won, NYG 34, LV 10. Our model had favored New York Giants at 50% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has New York Giants at -3.0, meaning the book expects New York Giants to win by 3.0 points.
In Week 17, the New York Giants were without 7 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Las Vegas Raiders were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 40.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 44.6, 4.1 above the market.
Week 17 of the 2025 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Las Vegas Raiders, NYG 6, LV 30 in Week 9 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, New York Giants: NYG -0.075 against LV -0.240.
