2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ LV – Week 17 2025
NYG
LV
NYG
AWAY
34@10
NYG +24
FINAL · WEEK 17
2025 SEASON
LV
HOME
TIER C
PICK: NYG
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NYG 50%Projected margin: 1.7
NYG
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
1.7
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NYG C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NYG. Projected margin: 1.7. Actual: 24. Off by 25.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 21.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | NYG market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +154 | Won · +$0.65 |
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NYG
J.Dart
QB
241.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
217.9SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
160.8SEASON PPR
LV
A.Jeanty
RB
245.1SEASON PPR
B.Bowers
TE
176.2SEASON PPR
G.Smith
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@LVW9 2023 | NYG 6, LV 30 | LV | W |
| LV@NYGW9 2021 | LV 16, NYG 23 | LV | L |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES