2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ARI @ CIN – Week 17 2025
ARI
CIN
ARI
AWAY
14@37
CIN +23
FINAL · WEEK 17
2025 SEASON
CIN
HOME
TIER A
PICK: CIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CIN 73%Projected margin: 6.3
CIN
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
6.3
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CIN. Projected margin: 6.3. Actual: 23. Off by 16.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 16.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | CIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ARI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
CIN
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
65°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
ARI
T.McBride
TE
315.9SEASON PPR
J.Brissett
QB
227.4SEASON PPR
Mi.Wilson
WR
220.6SEASON PPR
CIN
J.Chase
WR
313.6SEASON PPR
C.Brown
RB
282.6SEASON PPR
T.Higgins
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@ARIW5 2023 | CIN 34, ARI 20 | CIN | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES