PHI @ BUF – Week 17 2025

BUF B-tier pick misses. PHI takes it.

Model picked BUF but PHI won. Projected margin was 2.6 -- the model overestimated by 3.6 points.

Missed the spread by 4.0 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.