Seahawks vs Panthers – Week 17 2025
SEA
CAR
SEA
AWAY
27@10
SEA BY 17
FINAL · WEEK 17
2025 SEASON
Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC
CAR
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 27, Carolina Panthers 10.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 72% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Seahawks, 2 Panthers.
Model confidence: SEA 72%Our line: SEA -7.8
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -6.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -7.8
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
72%
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 17
+0.150Net EPA / play-0.107
+0.033 (13)Offense EPA / play-0.039 (26)
-0.117 (2)Defense EPA / play+0.067 (23)
46.3% (7)Offense success %43.1% (21)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 7.8. Actual: 17. Off by 9.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CAR
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
2 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@SEAW3 2023 | CAR 27, SEA 37 | SEA | W |
| CAR@SEAW14 2022 | CAR 30, SEA 24 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs CAR
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 72% win probability, a Tier A pick. The margin models project SEA by 7.8. The market has SEA at -6.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, SEA 27, CAR 10. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 72% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -6.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 6.5 points.
In Week 17, the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Carolina Panthers were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 42.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.2, 2.7 above the market.
Week 17 of the 2025 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, CAR 27, SEA 37 in Week 3 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA +0.150 against CAR -0.107.
