2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ CAR – Week 17 2025
SEA
CAR
SEA
AWAY
27@10
SEA +17
FINAL · WEEK 17
2025 SEASON
CAR
HOME
TIER A
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 72%Projected margin: -5.6
SEA
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-5.6
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 5.6. Actual: 17. Off by 11.4 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CAR
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
SEA
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
359.9SEASON PPR
S.Darnold
QB
235.4SEASON PPR
K.Walker
RB
191.9SEASON PPR
CAR
B.Young
QB
218.0SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
216.3SEASON PPR
T.McMillan
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@SEAW3 2023 | CAR 27, SEA 37 | SEA | W |
| CAR@SEAW14 2022 | CAR 30, SEA 24 | SEA | L |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES