2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ LV – Week 9 2023
NYG
LV
NYG
AWAY
6@30
LV +24
FINAL · WEEK 9
2023 SEASON
LV
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LV
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LV 66%Projected margin: 3.3
LV
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
3.3
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LV B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LV. Projected margin: 3.3. Actual: 24. Off by 20.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 23.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | LV market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -118 | Won · +$0.87 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
LV
Divisional 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR
133.2SEASON PPR
LV
Davante Adams
WR
265.4SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
218.6SEASON PPR
Josh Jacobs
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@LVW17 2025 | NYG 34, LV 10 | NYG | W |
| LV@NYGW9 2021 | LV 16, NYG 23 | LV | L |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES