TIER BPICK: BUF
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: BUF 58%Projected margin: -0.5
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF B-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked BUF but CIN won. Projected margin was 0.5 -- the model overestimated by 6.5 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BUF
Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
CIN
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
BUF2 LISTEDBaylon Spector
LB · Hamstring
OUT
CIN4 LISTEDHEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS