2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ NO – Week 9 2023
CHI
NO
CHI
AWAY
17@24
NO +7
FINAL · WEEK 9
2023 SEASON
NO
HOME
TIER A
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 72%Projected margin: 6.0
NO
PICK SIDE
-9.0
SPREAD
6.0
PROJ MARGIN
-365
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NO by 6.0. Actual: 7 points. The model was within 1.0 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.0 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -365 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -440 | Won · +$0.27 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
No noteworthy trends
NO
Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
CHI
DJ Moore
WR
286.5SEASON PPR
Justin Fields
QB
230.2SEASON PPR
Cole Kmet
TE
181.1SEASON PPR
NO
Derek Carr
QB
241.1SEASON PPR
Alvin Kamara
RB
233.0SEASON PPR
Chris Olave
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@CHIW7 2025 | NO 14, CHI 26 | CHI | W |
| NO@CHIW8 2020 | NO 26, CHI 23 | NO | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES