2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ CHI – Week 8 2020
NO
CHI
NO
AWAY
26@23
NO +3
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
CHI
HOME
TIER C
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 55%Projected margin: -3.2
NO
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
-3.2
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NO by 3.2. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.2 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 11 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.5 points.
HIGH WIND
20 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -229 | Won · +$0.45 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
CHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
40°F
WIND
20 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
377.8SEASON PPR
Drew Brees
QB
209.5SEASON PPR
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
164.8SEASON PPR
CHI
David Montgomery
RB
264.8SEASON PPR
Allen Robinson
WR
262.9SEASON PPR
Mitchell Trubisky
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@CHIW7 2025 | NO 14, CHI 26 | CHI | W |
| CHI@NOW9 2023 | CHI 17, NO 24 | NO | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES