2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ BUF – Week 8 2020
NE
BUF
NE
AWAY
21@24
BUF +3
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
BUF
HOME
TIER B
PICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: BUF 58%Projected margin: 2.0
BUF
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
2.0
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected BUF by 2.0. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.0 points of the real margin.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.0 point -- a bad-beat loss.
HIGH WIND
17 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | BUF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -197 | Won · +$0.56 |
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
41°F
WIND
17 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NE
Cam Newton
QB
261.0SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
142.5SEASON PPR
James White
RB
116.6SEASON PPR
BUF
Josh Allen
QB
396.1SEASON PPR
Stefon Diggs
WR
328.6SEASON PPR
Cole Beasley
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF@NEW15 2025 | BUF 35, NE 31 | NE | L |
| NE@BUFW5 2025 | NE 23, BUF 20 | BUF | L |
| BUF@NEW18 2024 | BUF 16, NE 23 | BUF | L |
| NE@BUFW16 2024 | NE 21, BUF 24 | BUF | W |
| NE@BUFW17 2023 | NE 21, BUF 27 | BUF | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES