2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ KC – Week 8 2020
NYJ
KC
NYJ
AWAY
9@35
KC +26
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
KC
HOME
TIER S
PICK: KC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: KC 76%Projected margin: 12.1
KC
PICK SIDE
-20.0
SPREAD
12.1
PROJ MARGIN
-1778
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
KC S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked KC. Projected margin: 12.1. Actual: 26. Off by 13.9 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -20.0 | KC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -1778 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1965 | Won · +$0.06 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
KC
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
52°F
WIND
11 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NYJ
Jamison Crowder
WR
172.0SEASON PPR
Sam Darnold
QB
134.0SEASON PPR
Frank Gore
RB
100.2SEASON PPR
KC
Patrick Mahomes
QB
374.4SEASON PPR
Tyreek Hill
WR
328.9SEASON PPR
Travis Kelce
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC@NYJW4 2023 | KC 23, NYJ 20 | KC | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES