2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ GB – Week 8 2020
MIN
GB
MIN
AWAY
28@22
MIN +6
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: GB
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 68%Projected margin: 8.5
GB
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
8.5
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A+-tier pick misses. MIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked GB but MIN won. Projected margin was 8.5 -- the model overestimated by 14.5 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 11.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
HIGH WIND
23 MPH winds and 34°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -249 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
No noteworthy trends
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
34°F
WIND
23 MPH
COLD GAMEWINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
MIN
Dalvin Cook
RB
337.8SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
306.2SEASON PPR
Justin Jefferson
WR
274.2SEASON PPR
GB
Aaron Rodgers
QB
383.3SEASON PPR
Davante Adams
WR
358.4SEASON PPR
Aaron Jones
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@MINW18 2025 | GB 3, MIN 16 | GB | L |
| MIN@GBW12 2025 | MIN 6, GB 23 | GB | W |
| GB@MINW17 2024 | GB 25, MIN 27 | MIN | W |
| MIN@GBW4 2024 | MIN 31, GB 29 | GB | L |
| GB@MINW17 2023 | GB 33, MIN 10 | MIN | L |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES