2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ GB – Week 12 2025
MIN
GB
MIN
AWAY
6@23
GB +17
FINAL · WEEK 12
2025 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER A
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 72%Projected margin: 5.7
GB
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
5.7
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 5.7. Actual: 17. Off by 11.3 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
201.5SEASON PPR
J.Addison
WR
135.1SEASON PPR
J.Mason
RB
128.9SEASON PPR
GB
J.Jacobs
RB
237.1SEASON PPR
J.Love
QB
235.1SEASON PPR
R.Doubs
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@MINW18 2025 | GB 3, MIN 16 | GB | L |
| GB@MINW17 2024 | GB 25, MIN 27 | MIN | W |
| MIN@GBW4 2024 | MIN 31, GB 29 | GB | L |
| GB@MINW17 2023 | GB 33, MIN 10 | MIN | L |
| MIN@GBW8 2023 | MIN 24, GB 10 | MIN | W |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES