Seahawks vs Titans – Week 12 2025
SEA
TEN
SEA
AWAY
30@24
SEA BY 6
FINAL · WEEK 12
2025 SEASON
Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN
TEN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 30, Tennessee Titans 24.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 81% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Seahawks, 3 Titans.
Model confidence: SEA 81%Our line: SEA -12.1
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -12.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -12.1
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 12
+0.150Net EPA / play-0.260
+0.033 (13)Offense EPA / play-0.160 (30)
-0.117 (2)Defense EPA / play+0.100 (28)
46.3% (7)Offense success %37.4% (31)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 12.1. Actual: 6. Off by 6.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.5 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
TEN
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
55°F
WIND
1 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@TENW16 2023 | SEA 20, TEN 17 | SEA | W |
| TEN@SEAW2 2021 | TEN 33, SEA 30 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs TEN
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 81% win probability, a Tier S pick. The margin models project SEA by 12.1. The market has SEA at -12.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, SEA 30, TEN 24. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 81% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -12.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 12.5 points.
In Week 12, the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Tennessee Titans were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 41.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 44.5, 3.0 above the market.
Week 12 of the 2025 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, SEA 20, TEN 17 in Week 16 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA +0.150 against TEN -0.260.
