2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ TEN – Week 12 2025
SEA
TEN
SEA
AWAY
30@24
SEA +6
FINAL · WEEK 12
2025 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER S
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: SEA 81%Projected margin: -10.5
SEA
PICK SIDE
-12.5
SPREAD
-10.5
PROJ MARGIN
-604
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 10.5. Actual: 6. Off by 4.5 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.5 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -12.5 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -604 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.17 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
TEN
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
55°F
WIND
1 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
SEA
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
359.9SEASON PPR
S.Darnold
QB
235.4SEASON PPR
K.Walker
RB
191.9SEASON PPR
TEN
C.Ward
QB
186.7SEASON PPR
T.Pollard
RB
185.8SEASON PPR
C.Dike
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@TENW16 2023 | SEA 20, TEN 17 | SEA | W |
| TEN@SEAW2 2021 | TEN 33, SEA 30 | SEA | L |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES