IND @ KC – Week 12 2025

IND C-tier pick misses. KC takes it.

Model picked IND but KC won. Projected margin was 0.3 -- the model overestimated by 3.3 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.