Titans vs Seahawks – Week 2 2021
TEN
SEA
TEN
AWAY
33@30
TEN BY 3
FINAL · WEEK 2
2021 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Tennessee Titans 33, Seattle Seahawks 30.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 1 Titans, 2 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 58%Our line: SEA -2.7
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -6.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -2.7
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
58%
SEA · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
73%
DIFFERENCE
-15%
| SOURCE | TEN | SEA | SEA WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | +247 | -286 | 72.6% |
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average.
TEAM COMPARISON2021 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
+0.055Net EPA / play+0.003
+0.022 (15)Offense EPA / play+0.031 (14)
-0.033 (9)Defense EPA / play+0.028 (22)
44.6% (15)Offense success %43.2% (21)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick misses. TEN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SEA but TEN won. Projected margin was 2.7, the model overestimated by 5.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 9.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
TEN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
SEA
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
62°F
WIND
14 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2021 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Tennessee TitansPASSING
Ryan Tannehill3734 yd · 21 TD · 14 INT
RECEIVING
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@TENW12 2025 | SEA 30, TEN 24 | SEA | W |
| SEA@TENW16 2023 | SEA 20, TEN 17 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 2.7. The market has SEA at -6.5.
Tennessee Titans won, TEN 33, SEA 30. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -6.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 6.5 points.
In Week 2, the Tennessee Titans were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2021 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, SEA 30, TEN 24 in Week 12 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2021 season, Tennessee Titans: TEN +0.055 against SEA +0.003.
