2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ ARI – Week 2 2021
MIN
ARI
MIN
AWAY
33@34
ARI +1
FINAL · WEEK 2
2021 SEASON
ARI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ARI
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: ARI 56%Projected margin: 2.5
ARI
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
2.5
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected ARI by 2.5. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 1.5 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 12 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | ARI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.56 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
No noteworthy trends
ARI
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
330.4SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
300.3SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
206.3SEASON PPR
ARI
Kyler Murray
QB
300.5SEASON PPR
James Conner
RB
257.7SEASON PPR
Christian Kirk
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@MINW13 2024 | ARI 22, MIN 23 | MIN | W |
| ARI@MINW8 2022 | ARI 26, MIN 34 | MIN | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES