2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ TEN – Week 16 2023
SEA
TEN
SEA
AWAY
20@17
SEA +3
FINAL · WEEK 16
2023 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS PUSH
Model confidence: SEA 63%Projected margin: -1.5
SEA
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-1.5
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
PUSH
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected SEA by 1.5. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.5 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 11 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
PUSH
Final margin landed exactly on the spread (-3.0). Push -- no winner ATS.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -166 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
No noteworthy trends
TEN
Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
61°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
227.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
225.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
TEN
Derrick Henry
RB
246.7SEASON PPR
DeAndre Hopkins
WR
223.6SEASON PPR
Tyjae Spears
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@TENW12 2025 | SEA 30, TEN 24 | SEA | W |
| TEN@SEAW2 2021 | TEN 33, SEA 30 | SEA | L |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES