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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

IND

ATL

IND

AWAY

10@29

ATL +19

FINAL · WEEK 16

2023 SEASON

ATL

HOME

PRO PICK

THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

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BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+3.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

43.3

ALL GAME TOTALS →

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

INJURY REPORTWEEK 16

IND5 LISTED

Braden Smith

T · Knee

OUT

Jack Anderson

C · Illness

OUT

Segun Olubi

LB · Hip

OUT

Zack Moss

RB · Forearm

QUESTIONABLE

Michael Pittman

WR · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
ATL@INDW10 2025	ATL 25, IND 31

FULL COMPARISON →

IND ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

ATL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES

LV@KC

20-14

NE@DEN

26-23

NYG@PHI

25-33

BAL@SF

33-19

ARI@CHI

16-27

JAX@TB

12-30

NO@LA

22-30

← WEEK 16 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

ATL4 LISTED

Keith Smith

FB · Ankle

DOUBTFUL

Bud Dupree

LB · Back

QUESTIONABLE

David Onyemata

DT · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Kaleb McGary

T · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

ATL SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

31.0%

BLITZ RATE

27.8%

MOTION

42.2%

RPO

2.2%

SCREEN

10.3%

NO HUDDLE

11.0%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2023 SEASON

IND SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

25.6%

BLITZ RATE

32.8%

MOTION

33.8%

RPO

14.3%

SCREEN

10.6%

NO HUDDLE

15.1%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.4

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2023 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

68.5%

Taylor HeinickeATL

TIME TO THROW

2.68s

Taylor HeinickeATL

SEPARATION

3.6 yds

Jonnu SmithATL

RUSH EFFICIENCY

4.0

Bijan RobinsonATL

AGGRESSIVENESS

27.0%

Gardner MinshewIND

AVG YAC

7.6 yds

Jonnu SmithATL

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

IND ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

17.3%

DROP %

5.3%

PRESSURE %

19.4%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.7

YAC/ATT

1.4

BROKEN TACKLES

23

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

66.2%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

83.1

MISSED TACKLE %

8.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON

ATL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

19.0%

DROP %

4.1%

PRESSURE %

22.4%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.5

YAC/ATT

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

65.4%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

84.9

MISSED TACKLE %

10.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON

IND @ ATL – Week 16 2023