2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ HOU – Week 16 2023
CLE
HOU
CLE
AWAY
36@22
CLE +14
FINAL · WEEK 16
2023 SEASON
HOU
HOME
TIER C
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 50%Projected margin: -0.2
CLE
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-0.2
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CLE. Projected margin: 0.2. Actual: 14. Off by 13.8 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -162 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
No noteworthy trends
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
CLE
Amari Cooper
WR
227.0SEASON PPR
Jerome Ford
RB
211.2SEASON PPR
David Njoku
TE
201.2SEASON PPR
HOU
C.J. Stroud
QB
276.0SEASON PPR
Nico Collins
WR
260.4SEASON PPR
Devin Singletary
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@HOUW13 2022 | CLE 27, HOU 14 | CLE | W |
| HOU@CLEW2 2021 | HOU 21, CLE 31 | CLE | W |
| HOU@CLEW10 2020 | HOU 7, CLE 10 | CLE | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES